
Latest Zone ForecastOKZ029-042130-
CLEVELAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORMAN...MOORE
348 AM CDT SAT SEP 4 2010
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN
THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LOWS AROUND 70. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS 40 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 90S. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 20 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 20 PERCENT.
Latest OUN Forecast DiscussionNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT SAT SEP 4 2010
.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/
SOUTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS. LLWS WILL DEVELOP OVER NW OK BY LATE TONIGHT IN RESPONSE
TO A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET. LOW HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE
REGION WILL RESULT IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1106 AM CDT SAT SEP 4 2010/
UPDATE...ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE REGION IS GREEN OR PARTIALLY
GREEN...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE WORTHY OF SOME ATTENTION
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS MORNING WE MADE SOME MINOR EDITS TO
DEWPOINT GRIDS TO REMOVE SOME POCKETS OF SPURIOUSLY HIGH DEWPOINTS
PREDICTED BY MOS GUIDANCE. WE EXPECT AFTERNOON HUMIDITY OF 18 TO
30 PERCENT TODAY AND SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TODAY...AND DOWNRIGHT WINDY ON SUNDAY IN THAT
PART OF THE STATE. ASIDE FROM DEWPOINTS...WE ALSO MADE LESS THAN A
CATEGORY INCREASE TO MAX TEMPERATURES FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 AM CDT SAT SEP 4 2010/
DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY EXPECTED ACROSS THE FA WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
MODERATE TEMPS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE LATER
TODAY...ESP IN THE NW AS TROUGH BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN IN THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AREAWIDE SUNDAY WITH
TEMPS WARMING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. DESPITE
SOUTHERLY WINDS...MOISTURE WILL STILL REMAIN LIMITED AND COMBO OF
LOW RH...BRISK SOUTH WINDS AND WARM TEMPS WILL ELEVATE FIRE WX
CONCERNS. WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO SLIDE INTO NRN OK LATE
MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH LIFTS FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
INTO THE NRN PLAINS. ALTHOUGH BETTER UPPER SUPPORT WILL BE NORTH OF
THE AREA...WITH THE FRONT IN THE AREA AND INCREASING MOISTURE...WILL
INTRO LOW POPS INTO NRN OK. MORE HUMID AIRMASS RETURNS BY TUESDAY
AND PERSISTS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PD. WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE CENTERED
OVER THE SERN U.S. MAY AID IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT AND WILL LEAVE LOW
POPS IN FOR MID TO LATE WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 57 91 68 92 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 56 92 67 94 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 58 95 71 96 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 56 96 64 96 / 0 0 0 10
PONCA CITY OK 57 88 68 91 / 0 0 0 10
DURANT OK 58 88 68 91 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
Latest GFS MOSKOUN GFS MOS GUIDANCE 9/04/2010 1200 UTC
DT /SEPT 4/SEPT 5 /SEPT 6 /SEPT 7
HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X 59 92 69 92 71
TMP 83 85 82 71 66 62 60 76 87 91 89 79 75 72 70 81 88 92 89 76 72
DPT 45 44 44 46 47 47 49 53 53 54 55 60 63 63 64 67 67 66 67 67 68
CLD CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW BK FW FW FW SC BK
WDR 15 17 15 15 17 17 18 18 18 17 17 16 17 17 17 19 18 18 17 16 17
WSP 05 07 07 06 06 06 06 12 16 17 16 12 14 15 13 17 19 21 15 09 07
P06 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 2 0 0 9
P12 1 1 2 3 9
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Q12 0 0 0 0 0
T06 1/ 0 1/ 0 2/ 0 0/ 1 1/ 5 0/ 9 10/ 5 2/ 4 0/14 9/ 5
T12 2/ 0 2/ 1 1/ 9 10/ 6 3/18
POZ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
POS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TYP R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
SNW 0 0 0
CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
-----------------
KOUN GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 9/04/2010 1200 UTC
FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
SUN 05| MON 06| TUE 07| WED 08| THU 09| FRI 10| SAT 11|SUN CLIMO
N/X 59 92| 69 92| 71 90| 69 82| 70 87| 75 91| 73 91| 72 64 88
TMP 60 89| 70 89| 72 86| 70 79| 71 83| 75 87| 74 86| 72
DPT 49 55| 64 67| 68 70| 68 71| 70 73| 73 74| 72 70| 69
WND 7 17| 16 21| 15 13| 11 10| 10 13| 11 17| 9 14| 10
P12 1 1| 2 3| 9 28| 45 57| 56 45| 24 16| 13 16| 14999999
P24 3| 4| 39| 73| 70| 31| 22| 999
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 4 5| 5 4| 4 0| |
Q24 0| 0| 1| 5| 4| 1| |
T12 2 1| 10 2| 12 40| 33 19| 19 27| 24 22| 16 19| 18
T24 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 25 | 36 | 37 | 30
PZP 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 1 0| 1
PSN 0 2| 0 1| 2 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0
PRS 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0
TYP R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R
SNW 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| |
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